Algo se cuece en tras*nistria

Aquí os dejo un pequeño resúmen de la historia de Moldavia y su relación con tras*nistria y Rumania para quien no este muy al tanto:



Antes de seguir, es menester dar una breve explicación sobre lo que es tras*nistria, su actual situación.

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tras*nistria es una república independiente no reconocida ubicada entre Ucrania y Moldavia, escindiendose de este último país. Fue una reacción de la población rusa-ucraniana de tras*nistria (cerca de un 52%) a las políticas nacionalistas pro-rumanas del gobierno moldavo, quienes proclamaron la República Moldava de Pridnestrovia o tras*nistria.

Tras varios choques se desató una guerra en 1992 entre el primitivo Ejército moldavo ayudado por Rumania contra los tras*nistrios ayudados por el 14º Ejército de Guardia Ruso y por voluntarios cosacos y Ucranianos (Curiosamente, aquí lucharon los nacionalistas ucranianos de la UNA-UNSO junto con los rusos). Como resultado, tras*nistria se convirtió en una república independiente, pero reconocida internacionalmente como parte de Moldavia, convirtiéndose en un conflicto congelado similar al de Abjasia, Osetia del Sur, Nagorno-Karabaj y Nueva Rusia.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/90/tras*nistrianRegionMap.png/200px-tras*nistrianRegionMap.png

¿Por qué os cuento esto? Debido a estas dos noticias que han circulado recientemente

Ukraine and Moldova are restricting Russian military access to the breakaway territory of tras*nistria, where Russia maintains about 1,500 troops.
Last week Ukraine's parliament voted to suspend military cooperation with Russia. And while much cooperation was of course already suspended, throughout the current crisis Russia has been able to use Ukrainian territory to supply its troops in tras*nistria, a slender territory on Ukraine's western border. No longer.
Russia responded defiantly: "The Ministry of Defense is left with no other option than to supply Russian forces with all the necessities by air bridge, with military-tras*port aircraft," said Yuriy Yakubov, a senior Russian MoD official in an interview with Interfax after the Ukrainian vote. "The Russian contingent will be supplied under any circumstances."
A member of the Russian Duma committee on defense, Vladimir Komoedev, added: "We have to think now how to act, to find ways. We shouldn't throw out tras*nistria and Moldova."
Further complicating Russia's predicament, on May 25 the Russian newspaper Kommersantreported that Moldova has quietly been arresting and deporting Russian soldiers who try to fly into Moldova en route to tras*nistria. Moldova hasn't stopped all Russian soldiers from traveling through its territory -- only those not in the Moldova-supported peacekeeping mission, and only those who don't give a month's notice that they will be traveling to Moldova. (Of the roughly 1,500 Russian troops stationed in Moldova, about 1,000 are in the Operational Group of Russian Forces in Moldova, which Moldova does not support; the rest are peacekeepers regulated by the Joint Control Commission, which includes authorities from Moldova, tras*nistria, and Russia.)
Moldovan officials told Kommersant that there have been "hundreds" of Russian soldiers sent back under those circumstances; the Russian MoD told the newspaper it had "no information" about that.
Russia is hamstrung by the fact that tras*nistria has land borders only with Ukraine and Moldova and has no usable airports, which is why Russian troops fly through Moldova's main international airport at Chisinau. But Russia may be planning to reopen the long-abandoned airport in Tiraspol, the de facto capital of the separatist territory, said Moldovan military expert Iurie Pantea in an interview with RFE/RL:
"The Russian Federation has already taken the necessary efforts to make the Tiraspol airport active, by means of which cargo deliveries could be made without Chisinau's control," Pantea said. "Two years ago this airport in Tiraspol was renovated and now has all it needs to accept military cargo.... I think that's what Russian generals have in mind when they announce that the contingent in tras*nistria will be supplied under any circumstances."
Moldova has been cracking down on Russian troops tras*iting through its territory because of the crisis in Ukraine, and reports that Russia has been recruiting Moldovans to fight in eastern Ukraine, said Oazu Nantoi, a Moldovan political analyst in another interview with RFE/RL. The government in Chisinau antiestéticars that Russia is thus "trying to carry out a scenario here similar to the one in eastern Ukraine. And this has caused a big burst of emotion here in Moldova."
It's perhaps noteworthy that Russia had not been making a big deal about its troops being turned back at the Chisinau airport (an MoD official told Kommersant that the last such case was just "a misunderstanding"). Moscow likely sees that it has enough on its plate to want to avoid more troubles with neighbors. But how will it now supply its troops in tras*nistria?

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FUENTE

Resumido: El gobierno títere ucraniano ha cerrado la ruta de suministros de los soldados rusos estacionados en Tiraspol, cancelando los acuerdos que había firmado con Rusia. No solo eso, sino que el gobierno moldavo (pro-UE) han estado devolviendo soldados que intentan entrar via el Aeropuerto de Chisnau. Esto los deja prácticamente aislados a merced de lo que ocurra. El propio Poroshenko afirmó que planea “descongelar el conflicto” y “ayudar a reestablecer la integridad territorial de Moldavia”

Ahora, ¿Cómo se puede descongelar un conflicto? Se necesita a alguien lo bastante iluso como para provocar una guerra. Y Kiev tiene al iluso indicado, esto nos lleva a la segunda noticia:

Petro Poroshenko, the president of Ukraine, has appointed former Georgian president Mikheil Saakashvili to be governor of Ukraine’s southern Odessa region, in a surprise move that is certain to raise hackles in Moscow.
At least three people were killed in the east of the country where government forces are fighting Russian-backed separatists.
Poroshenko made the announcement of Saakashvili’s appointment standing alongside the Georgian at a ceremony in Odessa, where he described him as “a great friend of Ukraine“. He granted Saakashvili Ukrainian citizenship to facilitate the move.
The security of the Black Sea city of Odessa and its surrounding region has become a growing concern for Ukrainians since a separatist conflict broke out in eastern Ukraine ***owing Russia’s annexation of Crimea further along the coast last year.
Saakashvili replaces Ihor Palytsia, a businessman who was appointed governor in May last year after more than 40 people, most of them pro-Russian sympathisers, died in a fire in the port city during a confrontation with pro-western demonstrators.
Poroshenko, who is pursuing a course of European integration to take his country out of the Russian orbit, has appointed several non-Ukrainian nationals to government posts, including the finance ministry where US-born Natalia Yaresko has taken over. But this is the first non-Ukrainian by birth to be named to head what is in effect a provincial government.
Saakashvili is widely credited with carrying out radical reforms in Georgia and cracking down on corruption during his term in office from 2004-2013. But the present Georgian leadership has accused him of abuse of power and has asked for his extradition. He denies any wrongdoing and says charges against him are politically motivated.
Like Poroshenko, Saakashvili, whose country fought a brief war with Russia in August 2008, is a strong advocate of Nato and European Union membership for his native Georgia and for Ukraine.
His appointment drew immediate derision in Moscow. The Russian prime minister, Dmitry Medvedev, tweeted: “Saakashvili – head of Odessa region. The Chapiteau show goes on. Sad Ukraine ...“. The ‘chapiteau show’ is a Russian way of referring to circus routines.
Poroshenko expressed confidence that Saaksahvili would bring discipline and carry out much-needed changes in the region. “The people of Odessa should soon feel that their living standards have been raised,” he said.
In fresh violence in the separatist-minded eastern territories, Kiev’s military reported that one serviceman had been killed and another wounded in attacks by the rebels despite a February ceasefire.
A father and his son were also killed when they triggered a trip wire attached to a grenade while walking in government-controlled territory near the city of Luhansk, the regional head said.

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FUENTE

Resúmen: Poroshenko ha nombrado como Gobernador de Odessa al expresidente de Georgia, Mikhael Saakashvili. ¿Qué significa esto? En mi anterior hilo di un pequeño repaso tanto a este sujeto como a su historia, dije que pronto íbamos a saber de él y, pese a que no fue como había previsto (un segundo Maidan georgiano) acerté en ese aspecto. Repasemos:

• Formado en Universidades usanas como la Columbia
• Se hizo conocido por liderar la Revolución de las Rosas, una revolución de colores financiada por ONGs extranjeras contra el Gobierno de Shevardnedze, que era pro-EEUU pero empezaba a mostrar signos de virar hacia Rusia
• Fue electo Presidente y convirtió a Georgia en, básicamente, una sucursal americana en el Cáucaso. Fue el tercer país que más soldados aportó a Irak
• Dejó el cargo en 2013 en medio de polémicas por cargos de corrupción. Actualmente es buscado por la justicia georgiana
• Tras el Euromaidan fue nombrado lider del comité de reformas del nuevo gobierno de Kiev. Una decisión que no parece muy acertada si se analizan los resultados de su gobierno en Georgia

Pero lo que nos interesa es la burrada que hizo en el 2008 lanzandose a la guerra contra las provincias separatistas de Abjasia y Osetia del Sur. Saakashvili pensó que iba a ser una operación rápida y que iba a recibir apoyo americano. Grande fue su sorpresa cuando Rusia respondió a la agresión invadiendo el territorio, humillando al Ejercito Georgiano y forzandolo a retroceder, dejando a Abjasia y Osetia del Sur como provincias ocupadas por el Ejercito Ruso. Esta guerra marca un punto de inflexión y es cuando surge Rusia como potencia geopolitica mundial y pilinguin empieza a ser calumniado por los medios (si ya no lo era)



La guerra ni siquiera fue eso, no tuvo más batallas que la de Tskhinvali, el resto fue una sucesión de retiradas del ejército georgiano ante las tropas rusas. Georgia fue armada por Estados Unidos e Israel recibiendo equipamiento de última generación.

¿Y qué tiene que ver? Simple, Odessa es en estos momentos una región inestable, de fuerte sentimiento prorruso y que podría estallar en cualquier momento. Kiev necesita a un político igual de inestable que sea capaz de provocar otra guerra con el fin de suprimir con fuerza una hipotetica rebelion en Odessa (No olvidemos que la República Popular de Odessa YA existe, pero como mera entidad en la clandestinidad) así como de hacer estallar el ya mencionado polvorín en tras*nistria. No olvidemos que Odessa es fronteriza con tras*nistria.

Estad muy atentos a Odessa y tras*nistria porque es muy probable que pronto tengamos noticias al respecto.

Esto se empieza a parecer a los balcanes 1914, al final cuando menos nos lo esperemos , saltara,