¿Habéis visto el Ibex 35? Junio 2014. Mes bolivariano que expropia plusvalía. Que llegan los gente de izquierdas!

Es riqueza aparente pero no real.

Yo estaría muy sobreponderado en renta variable usana :fiufiu::fiufiu::fiufiu:
 
A New Recession and a New World Devoid of Washington

A New Recession and a New World Devoid of Washington’s Arrogance?

June 25, 2014. A final number for real US GDP growth in the first quarter of 2014 was released today. The number is not the 2.6% growth rate predicted by the know-nothing economists in January of this year. The number is a decline in GDP of -2.9 percent.

The negative growth rate of -2.9 percent is itself an understatement. This number was achieved by deflating nominal GDP with an understated measure of inflation. During the Clinton regime, the Boskin Commission rigged the inflation measure in order to cheat Social Security recipients out of their cost-of-living adjustments. Anyone who purchases food, fuel, or anything knows that inflation is much higher than the officially reported number.

It is possible that the drop in first quarter real GDP is three times the official number.

Regardless, the difference is large between the January forecast of +2.6 percent growth and the decline as of the end of March of -2.9 percent.

Any economist who is real and unpaid by Wall Street, the government, or the Establishment knew that the +2.6 percent forecast was a crock. Americans’ incomes have not grown except for the one percent, and the only credit growth is in student loans, as those many who cannot find jobs mistakenly turn to “education is the answer.” In an economy based on consumer demand, the absence of income and credit growth means no economic growth.

The US economy cannot grow because corporations pushed by Wall Street have moved the US economy offshore. US manufactured products are made offshore. Look at the labels on your clothes, your shoes, your eating and cooking utensils, your computers, whatever. US professional jobs such as software engineering have been moved offshore. An economy with an offshored economy is not an economy. All of this happened in full view, while well-paid free market shills declared that Americans were benefiting from giving America’s middle class jobs to China and India.

I have been exposing these lies for a decade or two, which is why I am no longer invited to speak at American universities or to American economic associations. Economists love the money that they receive for lying. A truth teller is the last thing that they want in their midst.

An official decline of -2.9 percent in the first quarter implies a second quarter GDP decline. Two declines in a row is the definition of recession.

Imagine the consequences of a recession. It means that years of unprecedented Quantitative Easing failed to revive the economy. It means that years of Keynesian fiscal deficits failed to revive the economy. Neither fiscal nor monetary policy worked. What then can revive the economy?

Nothing except to force the return of the economy that the anti-American corporations moved offshore.

This would require credible government. Unfortunately, the US government has been losing credibility since the second term of the Clinton regime. It has none left.

Today no one anywhere in the world believes the US government except the brain dead Americans who read and listen to the “mainstream media.” Washington’s propaganda dominates the minds of Americans, but produces laughter and scorn everywhere else.

The poor US economic outlook has brought America’s two largest business lobbies–the US Chamber of Commerce and the National Association of Manufacturers (or what is left of them) into conflict with the Obama regime’s threat of further sanctions against Russia.

According to Bloomberg News, beginning tomorrow (June 26), the business groups will run advertisements in the New York Times, Wall St Journal, and Washington Post opposing any further sanctions on Russia. The US business organizations say that the sanctions will harm their profits and result in layoffs of American workers.

Thus, America’s two largest business organizations, important sources of political campaign contributions, have finally added their voice to the voices of German, French, and Italian business.

Everyone, except the brainwashed American public, knows that the “crisis in Ukraine” is entirely the work of Washington. European and American businesses are asking: “why should our profits and our workers take hits in behalf of Washington’s propaganda against Russia.”

Obama has no answer. Perhaps his neocon scum, Victoria Nuland, Samantha Powers, and Susan Rice can come up with an answer. Obama can look to the New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, and Weekly Standard to explain why millions of Americans and Europeans should suffer in order that Washington’s theft of Ukraine is not endangered.

Washington’s lies are catching up with Obama. German chancellor Merkel is Washington’s complete whore, but German industry is telling Washington’s whore that they value their business with Russia more than they value suffering in behalf of Washington’s empire. French businessmen are asking Hollande what he proposes to do with their unemployed workers if Holland goes along with Washington. Italian businesses are reminding that government, to the extent that Italy has one, that uncouth Americans have no tastes and that sanctions on Russia miccionan a hit to Italy’s most famous and best recognized economic sector–high style luxury products.

Dissent with Washington and Washington’s two-bit puppet rulers in Europe is spreading. The latest poll in Germany reveals that three-quarters of Germany’s population rejectpermanent NATO bases in Poland and the Baltic states. The former Czechoslovakia, currently Slovakia and the Czech Republic, although NATO members, have rejected NATO and American troops and bases on their territory. Recently, the Polish foreign minister said that pleasing Washington required giving free oral sex for nothing in return.

The strains that Washington’s jovenlandésns are putting on NATO might break the organization apart. Pray that it does. NATO’s excuse for existence disappeared with the Soviet collapse 23 years ago. Yet, Washington has increased NATO far beyond the borders of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. NATO now runs from the Baltics to Central Asia. In order to have a reason for NATO’s continued expensive operation, Washington has had to construct an enemy out of Russia.

Russia has no intention of being Washington’s or NATO’s enemy and has made that perfectly clear. But Washington’s military/security complex, which absorbs about $1 trillion annually of US hard-pressed taxpayers’ money, needs an excuse to keep the profits flowing.

Unfortunately the Washington jovenlandésns picked a dangerous enemy. Russia is a nuclear armed power, a country of vast dimensions, and with a strategic alliance with China.

Only a government drowning in arrogance and hubris or a government run by psychopaths and sociopaths would pick such an enemy.

Russia’s President Vladimir pilinguin has pointed out to Europe that Washington’s policies in the Middle East and Libya are not merely total failures but also devastatingly harmful to Europe and Russia. The fools in Washington have removed the governments that suppressed the jihadists. Now the violent jihadists are unleashed. In the Middle East the jihadists are at work remaking the artificial boundaries set by the British and French in the aftermath of World War I.

Europe, Russia and China have Muslim populations and now must worry if the violence that Washington has unleashed will bring destabilization to regions of Europe, Russia and China.

No one anywhere in the world has any reason to love Washington. Least of all Americans, who are being bled dry in order that Washington can parade military force around the world. Obama’s approval rating is a dismal 41 percent and no one wants Obama to remain in office once his second term is complete. In contrast, two-thirds of the Russian population want pilinguin to remain president after 2018.

In March the poling agency, Public Opinion Research Center, released a report that pilinguin’s approval rating stood at 76 percent despite the agitation against him by the US financed Russian NGOs, hundreds of fifth column institutions that Washington established in Russia during the past two decades.

On top of US political troubles, the US dollar is in trouble. The dollar is kept afloat by rigged financial markets and Washington’s pressure on its vassal states to support the dollar’s value by printing their own currencies and purchasing dollars. In order to keep the dollar afloat, much of the world will be inflated. When people finally catch on and rush into gold, the Chinese will have it all.

Sergey Glazyev, an adviser to President pilinguin, has told the Russian president than only an anti-dollar alliance that crashes the US dollar can halt Washington’s aggression. That has long been my opinion. There can be no peace as long as Washington can print more money with which to finance more wars.

As the Chinese government stated, it is time to “de-Americanize the world.” Washington’s leadership has totally failed the world, producing nothing but lies, violence, death, and the promise of more violence. America is exceptional only in the fact that Washington has, without remorse, destroyed in whole or part seven countries in the new 21st century. Unless Washington is replaced with more humane leadership, life on earth has no future.
 
logaritmico a grandes plazos es válido
En un mundobinflscionario como el nyestro deberias usar siempre una escala logaritmica. Recordad que la base que toneis no es importante, el cambio de base en el logaritmo se transforma en una mera dilatación en el gráfico.

Enviado desde mi GT-I9300 mediante Tapatalk
 
Testosterone Pit - Home - Last Time Lenders Did This, They Triggered The Financial Crisis

During the first quarter, 3.7 million credit cards were issued to subprime borrowers, up a head-scratching 39% from a year earlier, and the most since 2008. A third of all cards issued were subprime, also the most since 2008, according to Equifax. That was the glorious year when “subprime” transitioned from industry jargon to common word. It had become an essential component of the Financial Crisis.

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El tema de la enorme compra de autocartera en el SP lo comenté hace unos días.
Empresas como la querida IBM de Chinito gastaron en ella más que en CAPEX
8000M en acciones/1000M en CAPEX

Take IBM, for example. In Q1, 2014, Big Blue spent $8 billion on share buybacks and $1 billion on capital expenditure (stuff like upgrading buildings and equipment).

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Guess Who Bought the Most Shares in Q1

En el enlace explican lo fácil que es engordar el precio de una acción con el crédito a interés 0 para aquellas empresas que tiene acceso a la FED.

Habría que coger esas recompras, y la situación de las autocarteras... Si esas acciones se han amortizado, vale. Si se mantienen en balance, compradas a estos precios... una vez que esto empieze a bajar... glub...!

Incluso aunque amortizaran podría ser un problema. El menor número de acciones puede mejorar el BPA de forma artificial, aunque la empresa esté ganado menos o simplemente estancada en su negocio.

Por el lado bueno, está el hecho de que las empresas hayan aprovechado la subida de sus acciones para capitalizarse mediante compra barata/venta cara.
 
Tono las recompras de acciones son la forma mas rentable de remunerar a los accionistas, tanto por el interés compuesto como por temas fiscales.No confundais la autocartera europea con la recompra de acciones de empresas americanas, no es lo mismo.
 
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Tono las recompras de acciones son la forma mas rentable de remunerar a los accionistas, tanto por el interés compuesto como por temas fiscales

No me cabe duda. Perooo... todo tiene su trampa. Tanto por exceso como por defecto.
Un ejemplo sería el que digo, una empresa como IBM puede mejorar su BPA mediante recompra y amortización, aunque su negocio no funcione. Y al mismo tiempo sube el valor de la acción: al retener acciones en autocartera puede alterar el equilibrio oferta/demanda para subir artificialmente el precio del valor.

es un hablar por hablar, vaya, que mezclar números, así en general, de índices al completo con empresas en particular son cosas muy distintas. Ahí es donde las gacelas debemos saber separar el grano de la trabajo manual ;)

pd: efectivamente, en Europa el límite de acciones máximo en autocartera está regulado.
 
No me cabe duda. Perooo... todo tiene su trampa. Tanto por exceso como por defecto.
Un ejemplo sería el que digo, una empresa como IBM puede mejorar su BPA mediante recompra y amortización, aunque su negocio no funcione. Y al mismo tiempo sube el valor de la acción: al retener acciones en autocartera puede alterar el equilibrio oferta/demanda para subir artificialmente el precio del valor.

es un hablar por hablar, vaya, que mezclar números, así en general, de índices al completo con empresas en particular son cosas muy distintas. Ahí es donde las gacelas debemos saber separar el grano de la trabajo manual ;)

pd: efectivamente, en Europa el límite de acciones máximo en autocartera está regulado.

siempre que sea con free cash flow no es ninguna trampa ,es el mejor negocio para los accionistas, la prueba mas clara la tienes en berkishare, varias décadas recomprando acciones y ya esta a casi 200.000$ la accion.En IBM se ve muy bien, descargate el informe anual del año 2000 y compara el precio de la acción y la capitalización con los datos que aparecen en el informe del 2011, ya veras que sorpresa te llevas.Y lo mismo con philip morris. En USA las recompras estan muy acotadas a lo aprobado en las juntas generales de accionistas, de hecho allí no es como aquí que hay autocartera y que rara vez se amortiza,las acciones que se compran por normal general son amortizadas, vamos que desaparecen generándose muchísimo valor a lp para los accionistas.El problema Tono viene cuando una empresa con un negocio en caída libre se dedica a pedir créditos para recomprar acciones, en ese caso si que pasa lo que dices.
 
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